Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 4.689164 5.090834 5.525881 6.034710 6.616877 7.266228 8.051045
2025-03-09 3.977493 4.514372 5.137089 5.922839 6.902761 8.105562 9.728264
2025-03-16 3.580731 4.183230 4.914563 5.887100 7.178087 8.882799 11.397706
2025-03-23 3.367103 4.027867 4.860815 6.019476 7.645267 9.942640 13.642362
2025-03-30 3.090332 3.756833 4.619168 5.857418 7.666332 10.356328 14.999062
2025-04-06 2.862364 3.525605 4.402248 5.694901 7.649460 10.689517 16.280162
2025-04-13 2.671723 3.327298 4.209645 5.540789 7.615341 10.975185 17.531529
2025-04-20 2.537560 3.194728 4.095243 5.485377 7.719994 11.495973 19.356311
2025-04-27 2.474712 3.154832 4.106420 5.615728 8.133963 12.618553 22.767841
2025-05-04 2.422393 3.124968 4.127728 5.760574 8.587497 13.899862 27.056943
2025-05-11 2.334486 3.037953 4.056892 5.749186 8.763143 14.672037 30.440429
2025-05-18 2.255306 2.958725 3.991678 5.739484 8.937868 15.474611 34.308118
2025-05-25 2.133828 2.817012 3.831070 5.572316 8.828663 15.714463 36.896440
2025-06-01 2.037170 2.708688 3.717713 5.479924 8.860209 16.304916 41.156470
2025-06-08 1.962499 2.629116 3.643851 5.448467 9.006938 17.207710 47.342445
2025-06-15 1.925092 2.603761 3.654090 5.566325 9.476618 19.061251 59.573459
2025-06-22 1.838886 2.498491 3.527425 5.422044 9.366052 19.338531 64.784330
2025-06-29 1.758942 2.399463 3.405643 5.277129 9.235953 19.534521 69.964291
2025-07-06 1.685982 2.308356 3.292306 5.139498 9.105548 19.703431 75.404527
2025-07-13 1.633979 2.248208 3.227724 5.089960 9.171054 20.494215 86.561201
2025-07-20 1.614522 2.238820 3.248183 5.206448 9.643718 22.757307 115.407665
2025-07-27 1.597913 2.233027 3.274093 5.335717 10.171032 25.461831 161.777181
2025-08-03 1.559705 2.190342 3.233140 5.325560 10.344763 26.958709 203.753324